PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x7219dc6a6edc2d05555fb340dd29c01b9f906260

0x7219dc6a6edc2d05555fb340dd29c01b9f906260

Realised P&L
$4.36
Volume
$45.41
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$11.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No0.6000.982$1.64+$0.64
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 12? · Up0.6800.974$1.43+$0.43
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · No0.4400.515$1.17+$0.17
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.7900.900$1.14+$0.14
Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B? · No0.7200.775$1.08+$0.08
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? · Yes0.7200.665$0.92−$0.08
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.2200.200$0.91−$0.09
Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026? · No0.5200.450$0.87−$0.13
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · No0.3600.300$0.83−$0.17
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.3700.305$0.82−$0.18
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.3200.145$0.45−$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 12:02Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-12 12:02Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 12?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-12 04:02Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-11 20:01Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-11 11:42Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-11 03:05Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-10 18:48Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-10 04:47Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-09 04:44SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-08 20:25Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
10-08 10:58Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
10-08 02:57Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
10-07 18:01Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-07 09:54S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
10-07 01:53Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00