PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

alean

0x72163233f9a8adc4b54e115c40febeee1d46cb34

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$135.2k
Markets traded
198
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded198
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3630.415$614.66+$76.36
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2060.205$581.87$3.86
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1890.210$363.44+$36.39
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0940.065$350.43$158.16
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2490.455$167.38+$75.61
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1840.160$158.04$23.46
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30? · Yes0.1950.103$63.60$57.09
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? · Yes0.1600.210$40.95+$9.80
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$17.73$1.61
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2950.165$16.26$12.85
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · Yes0.2220.360$13.50+$5.17
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? · Yes0.0950.065$3.64$1.70
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0100.003$2.75$8.25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · No0.2000.001$0.05$19.95
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 3? · Yes0.0600.001$0.01$1.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:19Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.07$3.08
08-01 17:43Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 3?BUY0.06$1.20
07-31 10:01Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 1?BUY0.007$0.49
07-31 09:56Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 1?BUY0.209999974$5.00
07-31 09:55Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 1?BUY0.006$0.12
07-31 09:54Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 1?BUY0.005$0.10
07-31 09:53Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.49$9.80
07-30 09:29Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1906870359$100.00
07-30 09:26Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1814038161$100.00
07-30 09:26Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?SELL0.985$199.13
07-30 09:16Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3690104611$500.00
07-30 09:15Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?SELL0.9816960784$500.66
07-30 09:14Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.206152898$500.00
07-30 09:13Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?SELL0.981754902$500.70
07-29 07:37Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 29?BUY0.001$2.00