alean
0x72163233f9a8adc4b54e115c40febeee1d46cb34
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $137.5k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$828.17at 0.305Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?
- +$776.49at 0.113Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?
- +$504.03at 0.635Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?
- +$225.11at 0.295Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
- +$200.00at 0.200Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 05:04 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2026304169 | $46.00 |
| 08-04 06:15 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3894423178 | $125.00 |
| 08-02 23:19 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.08 |
| 08-01 17:43 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 07-31 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.49 |
| 07-31 09:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.12 |
| 07-31 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 07-31 09:53 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 07-30 09:29 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1906870359 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 09:26 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1814038161 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 09:26 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.985 | $199.13 |
| 07-30 09:16 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3690104611 | $500.00 |
| 07-30 09:15 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.9816960784 | $500.66 |
| 07-30 09:14 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.206152898 | $500.00 |