Jef.Es.El.Mejor
0x7210b1b79277b8311946884800201834bb91f1f9
- Realised P&L
- $307.04
- Volume
- $29.2k
- Markets traded
- 408
- Open portfolio
- $53.20
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded408
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.365 | $10.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 11? · Yes | 0.286 | 0.280 | $9.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 11? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.380 | $9.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11? · Yes | 0.308 | 0.260 | $8.43 | −$1.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 11? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.130 | $8.13 | −$1.88 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 11? · Yes | 0.209 | 0.145 | $6.94 | −$3.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 10? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$783.51at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
- +$382.84at 0.399Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$237.88at 0.486Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$221.06at 0.484Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
- +$184.59at 0.625Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.2863235987 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 00:51 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 00:49 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.97 |
| 10-11 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.68 |
| 10-11 00:47 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.70 |
| 10-11 00:46 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.3084577099 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 00:43 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.2089552233 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 00:41 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.1953296676 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 21:40 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 10? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.09 |
| 10-10 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.64 | $9.00 |
| 10-10 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |