0x720b732a0d579f7aa3c34d17c11e8ca1c4eae103
- Realised P&L
- $112.99
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $159.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · No | 0.014 | 0.195 | $65.05 | +$60.38 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.397 | $55.32 | +$19.21 |
| Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.039 | $31.30 | −$25.53 |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No | 0.669 | 0.983 | $7.05 | +$2.25 |
| Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $1.21 | −$0.64 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B · Natus Vincere | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.54 |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage · TheMongolz | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.19at 0.115Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
- +$-0.22at 0.532Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 16:13 | Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0023000224 | $1.85 |
| 08-26 03:12 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? | BUY | 0.2588232868 | $36.11 |
| 08-22 19:53 | Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0709753977 | $47.18 |
| 06-11 20:14 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.3299999872 | $9.54 |
| 05-26 23:14 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.6693026978 | $4.80 |
| 05-13 19:57 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B | BUY | 0.6799999603 | $4.80 |
| 05-12 12:54 | Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage | BUY | 0.001 | $1.85 |
| 05-10 01:37 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.519999953 | $3.54 |
| 05-10 01:37 | Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0699999937 | $9.65 |
| 05-08 13:05 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BUY | 0.1109999908 | $9.43 |
| 05-08 02:52 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.013999997 | $4.67 |