PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x720Aaf4b99854c5D5a0e618eE733D395cbAdaa3f-1783197974481

0x720aaf4b99854c5d5a0e618ee733d395cbadaa3f

Realised P&L
$579.08
Volume
$8.5k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$240.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.440$195.64−$4.62
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.085$42.50−$22.50
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.4000.560$2.63+$0.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 17:47Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.46$145.08
09-25 21:52Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4$1.88
08-14 20:46Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.7$381.50
08-14 20:45Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.33$49.50
07-22 20:01Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31?SELL0.031$31.00
07-18 16:53Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.8019801641$15.00
07-18 16:50Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.8$240.00
07-17 02:48Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.75$323.00
07-17 02:45Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.75$469.50