0x71f8bf14f1e7075415c958a3fa736617b3416098
0x71f8bf14f1e7075415c958a3fa736617b3416098
- Realised P&L
- $-25.78
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $26.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrei Svechnikov record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? · No | 0.570 | 0.490 | $8.32 | −$1.36 |
| Will Total Crypto Market Cap dip to 2T in 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.775 | $7.27 | −$1.17 |
| Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs? · Yes | 0.514 | 0.335 | $5.21 | −$2.79 |
| Will Mark Andrews have 724.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No | 0.750 | 0.680 | $3.64 | −$0.37 |
| Will Blake Corum have 674.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes | 0.508 | 0.345 | $1.54 | −$0.73 |
| Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $46B? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.445 | $0.50 | −$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.38at 0.667Counter-Strike: Just Swing vs Alter Ego (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs
- +$10.97at 0.720Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs
- +$9.13at 0.791Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Play-In
- +$3.46at 0.312LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
- +$3.28at 0.594Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 18:22 | Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs? | BUY | 0.5182178792 | $4.42 |
| 10-21 18:22 | Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs? | BUY | 0.5099999886 | $3.58 |
| 10-21 11:24 | Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25? | SELL | 0.74 | $17.03 |
| 10-19 17:45 | Will Mark Andrews have 724.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.01 |
| 10-19 07:52 | Will Andrei Svechnikov record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.5699999711 | $9.68 |
| 10-19 01:58 | Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25? | BUY | 0.5199999532 | $4.89 |
| 10-19 00:10 | Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.2 | $10.61 |
| 10-18 17:47 | Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25? | BUY | 0.6299999793 | $3.05 |
| 10-18 17:47 | Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25? | BUY | 0.6199999681 | $5.44 |
| 10-18 14:33 | Will Ashton Jeanty have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.659 | $0.80 |
| 10-17 23:13 | Will Juwan Johnson have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.73 | $16.98 |
| 10-17 23:12 | Will Josh Allen have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.6914882977 | $34.57 |
| 10-17 23:12 | Will Sheldon Creed win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship? | SELL | 0.1733884422 | $39.24 |
| 10-17 19:26 | Will Juwan Johnson have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.6899999949 | $6.70 |
| 10-17 19:19 | Will Juwan Johnson have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.66 | $4.95 |