KudryavtsevAle
0x71f354be931eb55cc30415c7f29ff76a2bae4b67
- Realised P&L
- $6.07
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $46.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.290 | $19.84 | −$6.16 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.075 | $14.13 | −$10.87 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? · No | 0.518 | 0.405 | $12.51 | −$3.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.57at 0.840Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
- +$3.10at 0.121Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
- +$3.00at 0.700Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
- +$-0.59at 0.840Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$-1.91at 0.033Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 14:17 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | BUY | 0.5179999981 | $16.00 |
| 10-15 14:09 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.189 | $9.76 |
| 10-15 12:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.027 | $6.80 |
| 10-15 12:22 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | SELL | 0.0121512249 | $2.41 |
| 10-09 10:32 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1162178527 | $6.00 |
| 10-08 06:26 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | BUY | 0.0403266458 | $8.00 |
| 10-08 05:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0317486695 | $8.00 |
| 10-02 08:31 | Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.379999998 | $26.00 |
| 10-02 08:26 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.1326823055 | $25.00 |
| 04-26 09:35 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting? | BUY | 0.84 | $45.00 |
| 04-26 09:34 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $9.40 |
| 03-19 08:05 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting? | SELL | 0.91 | $12.99 |
| 02-26 05:42 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999664 | $10.00 |
| 02-23 07:05 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |