gstqacg41xkl
0x71eb56e229bc3fadf4bc3bfc0696d8baa2ca5ec6
- Realised P&L
- $-779.04
- Volume
- $22.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,193
- Open portfolio
- $38.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,193
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.840 | 0.660 | $12.56 | −$3.42 |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.515 | 0.969 | $9.77 | +$4.58 |
| Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.890 | $4.32 | −$0.05 |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? · No | 0.892 | 0.915 | $4.29 | +$0.11 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.986 | $3.49 | +$1.72 |
| Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.515 | $1.74 | −$0.35 |
| Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.730 | 0.870 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.513 | 0.140 | $0.70 | −$1.85 |
| Will A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.100 | $0.45 | −$3.06 |
| Will Jack Harlow have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.165 | $0.39 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$396.05at 0.330Nuggets vs. Warriors
- +$326.25at 0.130Pacers vs. Thunder
- +$122.17at 0.280Nuggets vs. Bucks
- +$108.43at 0.590Lakers vs. Clippers
- +$81.25at 0.710Heat vs. Jazz
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 11:17 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.3899999542 | $2.64 |
| 07-29 13:09 | LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $1.77 |
| 07-29 11:41 | LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6199999775 | $1.10 |
| 07-28 09:59 | LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $2.72 |
| 07-28 09:43 | LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5 | $1.36 |
| 07-27 12:28 | LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage | SELL | 0.22 | $0.02 |
| 07-27 12:26 | LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage | SELL | 0.26 | $0.61 |
| 07-27 11:21 | LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage | BUY | 0.4799999489 | $1.88 |
| 07-26 20:10 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | SELL | 0.13 | $0.35 |
| 07-26 18:53 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.4899999109 | $1.32 |
| 07-26 10:56 | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $5.29 |
| 07-26 10:50 | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8799999348 | $1.08 |
| 07-26 09:50 | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5199998921 | $2.12 |
| 07-23 11:13 | Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.4099999348 | $3.65 |
| 07-20 13:31 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.46 |