0x71e99c16f10c260c4f3af13990bb612a7e44bc32
- Realised P&L
- $12.6k
- Volume
- $451.2k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $265.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NEC win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.155 | $265.44 | −$8.56 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.377 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.1k |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$645.59 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Will France vs. England end in a draw? · Yes | 0.178 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.0kat 0.388Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.3kat 0.382England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
- +$4.8kat 0.400Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$2.3kat 0.470Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$2.1kat 0.532Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 01:40 | Will NEC win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.16 | $274.00 |
| 07-19 15:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5399999999 | $2.1k |
| 07-18 21:36 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $517.00 |
| 07-18 21:35 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.15 | $609.30 |
| 07-18 21:26 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1899999999 | $995.00 |
| 07-18 19:33 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.539999992 | $9.50 |
| 07-18 19:32 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.5399999999 | $2.2k |
| 07-15 20:55 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0993566656 | $300.00 |
| 07-15 20:54 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0675 | $345.60 |
| 07-15 20:49 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.9975 | $10.2k |
| 07-15 19:55 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.3818190338 | $3.9k |
| 07-15 19:54 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.2519557578 | $2.1k |
| 07-15 19:54 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.3275 | $2.4k |
| 07-15 19:50 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3299999996 | $473.00 |
| 07-15 19:49 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.2574999997 | $480.00 |