PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

polkaly

0x71e3ce8bd0fed0fc00c59a53e72b68429efb4333

Realised P&L
$41.61
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$995.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8500.857$85.70+$0.70
Will "Being Heumann" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.6900.715$71.50+$2.50
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · No0.7680.754$66.34−$1.16
Will "Anthony Ippolito" be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5720.545$51.74−$2.53
Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2028? · Yes0.5470.555$44.39+$0.60
Will "Minions & Monsters" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8400.855$42.75+$0.75
Will Malachi Toney win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · No0.8800.834$41.68−$2.32
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.4940.535$37.34+$2.83
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028? · Yes0.6170.535$32.04−$4.89
Will Guitarricadelafuente win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7950.797$31.90+$0.10
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? · No0.6600.720$28.81+$2.40
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028? · Yes0.6900.685$27.40−$0.20
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? · Yes0.4330.425$25.50−$0.50
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028? · No0.6900.670$24.79−$0.74
Will Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2300.215$24.35−$1.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:12Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.28$1.00
11-01 13:51Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5BUY0.59$2.95
11-01 09:06Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.18$9.00
10-31 20:52Will the Democratic Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.55$2.97
10-31 10:13Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?SELL0.72$5.82
10-31 06:05Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?SELL0.81$4.68
10-31 06:04Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?SELL0.82$25.72
10-30 22:46Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?SELL0.69$13.80
10-30 22:40Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?SELL0.69$13.80
10-30 18:37Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?SELL0.34$4.08
10-30 17:38Will Riz Ahmed be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.82$41.00
10-30 14:07Benedict Wong as Wong?SELL0.67$3.35
10-30 13:08Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.14$0.28
10-30 13:00Will "I Play Rocky" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.42$2.94
10-30 12:55Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?SELL0.3$0.27