letsgetthis
0x71df74d9a07dbd041b429390d0ee8b7ae1783faf
- Realised P&L
- $-551.67
- Volume
- $35.7k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $19.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.77at 0.036Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$21.79at 0.347Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
- +$5.09at 0.027Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$0.68at 0.280Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
- +$0.35at 0.130Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 09:43 | Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.1919999814 | $7.01 |
| 08-11 09:41 | Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.2466602206 | $10.00 |
| 08-11 09:39 | Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.1914257086 | $10.00 |
| 04-08 02:27 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.004 | $14.00 |
| 04-08 02:25 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 04-08 02:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0170000001 | $5.00 |
| 01-30 09:04 | Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.009 | $14.90 |
| 01-30 09:01 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.0117623534 | $5.00 |
| 01-30 08:59 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.0338859399 | $10.00 |
| 01-30 08:53 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.0109452737 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 03:44 | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 03:43 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $40.00 |
| 10-26 03:32 | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $3.90 |
| 10-26 03:31 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $15.00 |
| 10-25 02:50 | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.014 | $10.00 |