kayuncle
0x71d8be308e5ace1a226b7924a4ef647c22433add
- Realised P&L
- $-37.20
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $5.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 6? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.036 | $3.60 | +$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 6? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.004 | $1.60 | −$0.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.61 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.29at 0.552Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 4?
- +$0.18at 0.077Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 4?
- +$-19.59at 0.392Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 11:46 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.0738466539 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 10:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.38 | $19.00 |