PolyBot

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Traders

Itsma

0x71cdeb0c4314bf4fc7e17ca8f8dfb451853593c4

Realised P&L
$-7.45
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$23.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.1200.170$7.08+$2.08
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2900.285$4.91−$0.09
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1250.116$4.62−$0.38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3800.355$2.80−$0.20
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.1370.150$2.55+$0.23
Will Sergio Massa win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election? · Yes0.4500.280$1.87−$1.13
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00−$3.00
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
Eagles vs. Jaguars · Eagles0.2400.000$0.00−$5.00
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · No0.4100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5460.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Hernán Crespo be the next permanent manager of River Plate? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 15:43Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2899999884$5.00
10-27 14:00Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.119999999$5.00
10-26 02:44Cowboys vs. EaglesBUY0.329999967$3.00
10-25 23:02Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.8$17.78
10-25 21:48Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.117$8.36
10-15 19:00Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.1369999965$2.32
10-15 18:59Will Sergio Massa win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?BUY0.4499999775$3.00
10-09 11:19Eagles vs. JaguarsBUY0.2399999923$5.00
10-04 20:02Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.5099999776$5.00
10-02 15:20Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0279999998$2.00
10-02 15:20Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5459999796$10.00
10-02 15:19Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4499999843$10.00
07-24 17:58Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.379999962$3.00
07-24 17:57Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.125$5.00
07-18 22:44Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.409$7.05