Itsma
0x71cdeb0c4314bf4fc7e17ca8f8dfb451853593c4
- Realised P&L
- $-7.45
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $23.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.01at 0.637Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$12.37at 0.397Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$12.13at 0.296Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
- +$10.96at 0.321Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$10.21at 0.597Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 15:43 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 14:00 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 02:44 | Cowboys vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.329999967 | $3.00 |
| 10-25 23:02 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.8 | $17.78 |
| 10-25 21:48 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.117 | $8.36 |
| 10-15 19:00 | Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.1369999965 | $2.32 |
| 10-15 18:59 | Will Sergio Massa win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election? | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 11:19 | Eagles vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 20:02 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 15:20 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0279999998 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 15:20 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5459999796 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 15:19 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 17:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.379999962 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 17:57 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.125 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 22:44 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.409 | $7.05 |