PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x71cb54580ece05599843cb998e636120b41a2266

Realised P&L
$79.15
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$147.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026? · No0.9490.947$41.89$0.09
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9360.962$35.78+$0.98
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6270.600$35.10$1.60
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? · No0.9440.940$34.62$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 23:41Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9509999179$9.56
08-29 23:41Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9483430045$32.42
07-02 02:59Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.029$2.42
06-29 21:12Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.2899999275$2.00
06-29 20:49Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.024$3.43
06-29 20:49Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?SELL0.73$33.97
06-29 20:49Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be less than or equal to 1.7%?SELL0.13$6.61
06-27 12:32Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.877999995$2.79
06-27 12:28Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0139999932$2.00
06-27 12:27Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0239999881$2.00
06-27 12:27Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0149999925$2.00
06-27 12:23Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be less than or equal to 1.7%?BUY0.185840708$9.45
06-27 12:23Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?BUY0.419999988$19.55
06-27 12:12Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.9357641457$34.80
06-27 12:12UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?BUY0.9442619504$34.80