PolyBot

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Traders

Ronaldo2100

0x71ca04d689bc38c5e4dcda8a4d743f279c5a3501

Realised P&L
$350.6k
Volume
$14.49M
Markets traded
426
Open portfolio
$458.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded426
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5000.705$214.4k+$62.3k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5000.295$89.7k−$62.3k
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9400.945$52.5k+$277.77
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9050.905$21.0k+$4.73
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9300.935$20.8k+$111.11
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5600.580$19.3k+$667.29
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7500.725$16.1k−$555.53
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.6200.605$12.8k−$318.07
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.7980.841$12.1k+$623.79
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$19.45
Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open? · No0.8200.000$0.00−$728.16
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2160.000$0.00−$4.4k
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$0.68
Will Cho Kuk be elected the next president of South Korea? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$568.27
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$2.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:18Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.75$1.1k
11-01 04:34Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.62$13.1k
11-01 04:25Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.91$10.1k
10-30 15:132026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.94$15.1k
10-30 09:38Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.8333080784$3.7k
10-30 09:38Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.8272591292$4.6k
10-25 22:06Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.55$790.43
10-25 22:06Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.56$5.60
10-25 22:06Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.56$92.50
10-25 22:06Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.561$393.60
10-25 22:06Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.5611202935$139.94
10-25 22:06Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.5600621509$720.91
10-25 21:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.6615727077$600.67
10-25 21:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.6613765182$70.24
10-25 21:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.652$16.65