Ronaldo2100
0x71ca04d689bc38c5e4dcda8a4d743f279c5a3501
- Realised P&L
- $350.6k
- Volume
- $14.49M
- Markets traded
- 426
- Open portfolio
- $458.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded426
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$135.9kat 0.659Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$100.7kat 0.730Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$70.4kat 0.848Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$41.6kat 0.620Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$28.1kat 0.930Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:18 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.1k |
| 11-01 04:34 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.62 | $13.1k |
| 11-01 04:25 | Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.1k |
| 10-30 15:13 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.94 | $15.1k |
| 10-30 09:38 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8333080784 | $3.7k |
| 10-30 09:38 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8272591292 | $4.6k |
| 10-25 22:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.55 | $790.43 |
| 10-25 22:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 10-25 22:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.56 | $92.50 |
| 10-25 22:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.561 | $393.60 |
| 10-25 22:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.5611202935 | $139.94 |
| 10-25 22:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.5600621509 | $720.91 |
| 10-25 21:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.6615727077 | $600.67 |
| 10-25 21:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.6613765182 | $70.24 |
| 10-25 21:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.652 | $16.65 |