scli
0x71bfdebfcca2076a90a9fc1a35b2fcd41ab1f654
- Realised P&L
- $92.39
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $744.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.755 | $709.54 | +$258.40 |
| Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.060 | $26.85 | −$50.72 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.297 | 0.026 | $7.95 | −$81.05 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.500 | 0.245 | $0.56 | −$0.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.99at 0.300Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
- +$38.91at 0.676Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$9.08at 0.816Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$4.84at 0.949Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$3.20at 0.680Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 04:50 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 04:08 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.809999997 | $40.00 |
| 05-30 01:01 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 05-07 07:11 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.48 | $450.00 |
| 04-21 10:27 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 12-17 14:24 | Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027? | BUY | 0.1733209632 | $77.85 |
| 12-11 02:55 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 12-10 11:12 | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 11-16 05:08 | Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31? | BUY | 0.014 | $2.80 |
| 11-16 05:07 | Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 11-06 14:43 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999932 | $90.00 |
| 10-26 05:52 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9489999996 | $90.00 |