PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

scli

0x71bfdebfcca2076a90a9fc1a35b2fcd41ab1f654

Realised P&L
$92.39
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$744.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4800.755$709.54+$258.40
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027? · Yes0.1730.060$26.85−$50.72
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2970.026$7.95−$81.05
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5000.245$0.56−$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-02 04:50MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
06-02 04:08Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.809999997$40.00
05-30 01:01Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.59$59.00
05-07 07:11Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.48$450.00
04-21 10:27Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.68$6.80
12-17 14:24Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?BUY0.1733209632$77.85
12-11 02:55Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.19$19.00
12-10 11:12No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.11$11.00
11-16 05:08Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?BUY0.014$2.80
11-16 05:07Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?BUY0.07$7.00
11-06 14:43Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.6899999932$90.00
10-26 05:52Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.9489999996$90.00