PolyBot

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Traders

0x71be0ded277316931c9b42e8bbfc6b5437bbf2aa

0x71be0ded277316931c9b42e8bbfc6b5437bbf2aa

Realised P&L
$-25.89
Volume
$27.0k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$39.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0010.001$37.50−$37.50
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0010.001$1.50−$1.50
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) · LGD Gaming0.0010.000$0.00−$5.99
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$9.99
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 15? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 19:40Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.001$75.00
10-02 13:27XRP Up or Down - October 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-02 13:27XRP Up or Down - October 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
10-01 09:52Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.001$3.00
09-30 14:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-30 14:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
09-23 09:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
09-23 09:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.5099999776$5.00
09-22 15:03Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)BUY0.001$6.00
09-14 17:22Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$1.00
09-14 17:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 15?BUY0.001$1.00
08-02 18:19Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$1.00
08-01 11:05Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$3.00
07-02 18:44Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-02 01:31Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.001$1.00