WouldntYouWantToKnowWeatherBoy
0x71a25991d1b0c06d9fe4bf678f2f3b7160c9e17d
- Realised P&L
- $-876.73
- Volume
- $91.0k
- Markets traded
- 493
- Open portfolio
- $337.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded493
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.820 | 0.914 | $75.84 | +$7.84 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.755 | $55.09 | +$1.09 |
| Will MTK Budapest win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.752 | 0.996 | $50.31 | +$12.31 |
| Will AZ win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.790 | 1.000 | $48.08 | +$10.08 |
| Will IFK Mariehamn win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.670 | 1.000 | $41.77 | +$13.77 |
| Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5) · Frosinone Calcio | 0.790 | 0.885 | $38.17 | +$4.10 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.690 | 0.680 | $27.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will Zira FK win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.005 | $0.17 | −$17.83 |
| Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? · No | 0.522 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.874 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.00 |
| Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5) · Azerbaijan | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? · No | 0.731 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.77 |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) · Morocco | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$360.74at 0.587Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$232.55at 0.698Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$197.08at 0.647Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$182.38at 0.775Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
- +$150.57at 0.805Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 19:12 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7399999997 | $54.00 |
| 10-10 18:47 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 10-10 18:44 | Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8199999983 | $68.00 |
| 10-10 18:43 | Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.33 |
| 10-10 18:43 | Will Club Brugge win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.60 |
| 10-10 18:43 | Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $62.59 |
| 10-10 18:43 | Will SK Super Nova win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.999 | $76.30 |
| 10-10 18:03 | Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5) | BUY | 0.7899999954 | $34.07 |
| 10-10 17:40 | Will MTK Budapest win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7518875247 | $38.00 |
| 10-10 17:11 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.76 | $38.00 |
| 10-10 16:40 | Will AZ win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7899999971 | $38.00 |
| 10-10 16:40 | Will FC Nomme United win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.99 | $85.79 |
| 10-10 16:16 | Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.8299999834 | $4.00 |
| 10-10 16:15 | Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.8299999984 | $48.00 |
| 10-10 16:15 | Will Club Brugge win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7501298662 | $38.00 |