PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

erxcfy

0x7198a786c2246a246a7023663562d16f838e5a49

Realised P&L
$-48.24
Volume
$14.4k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$113.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 02:22Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 14?BUY0.987$47.19
06-22 08:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 25?BUY0.963$16.24
03-09 04:01Will Kristiansund BK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?BUY0.24$71.04
03-07 06:45Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs DimitrovBUY0.12$30.68
02-18 17:02Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be less than 2,000,000?BUY0.022$2.76
02-18 08:57Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on February 19?BUY0.072$13.34
02-17 07:06Will there be less than 200k initial jobless claims during the week ending February 14, 2026?BUY0.033$3.69
02-15 10:43Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 15,000,000 and 15,500,000?BUY0.024$3.11
02-15 01:38Will Jalen Johnson win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?BUY0.039$4.08
02-13 05:45Will Erika Kirk attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?BUY0.035$3.83
02-12 00:50Will Jason Anavitarte win the GA-14 special election?BUY0.019$4.14
02-09 06:43Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 12?BUY0.043$9.23
02-09 06:32Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on February 11?BUY0.015$1.55
02-06 03:37Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.6819999995$135.36
01-28 04:16Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?BUY0.26$42.79