erxcfy
0x7198a786c2246a246a7023663562d16f838e5a49
- Realised P&L
- $-48.24
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $113.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.12at 0.682Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$60.44at 0.645Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$26.04at 0.830Atlanta United FC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 4.5
- +$25.16at 0.830Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?
- +$25.08at 0.837Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 02:22 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 14? | BUY | 0.987 | $47.19 |
| 06-22 08:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 25? | BUY | 0.963 | $16.24 |
| 03-09 04:01 | Will Kristiansund BK vs. SK Brann end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $71.04 |
| 03-07 06:45 | Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Dimitrov | BUY | 0.12 | $30.68 |
| 02-18 17:02 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be less than 2,000,000? | BUY | 0.022 | $2.76 |
| 02-18 08:57 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on February 19? | BUY | 0.072 | $13.34 |
| 02-17 07:06 | Will there be less than 200k initial jobless claims during the week ending February 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $3.69 |
| 02-15 10:43 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 15,000,000 and 15,500,000? | BUY | 0.024 | $3.11 |
| 02-15 01:38 | Will Jalen Johnson win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP? | BUY | 0.039 | $4.08 |
| 02-13 05:45 | Will Erika Kirk attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game? | BUY | 0.035 | $3.83 |
| 02-12 00:50 | Will Jason Anavitarte win the GA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.019 | $4.14 |
| 02-09 06:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 12? | BUY | 0.043 | $9.23 |
| 02-09 06:32 | Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on February 11? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.55 |
| 02-06 03:37 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.6819999995 | $135.36 |
| 01-28 04:16 | Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $42.79 |