0x7182d95ff8bf8a9e6a7bdee51e5362d787080e21
- Realised P&L
- $1.35
- Volume
- $55.53
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $12.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.330 | $4.61 | +$1.53 |
| Will Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election? · Yes | 0.399 | 0.382 | $2.98 | −$0.13 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.128 | $2.80 | −$0.25 |
| Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.215 | $2.56 | −$0.54 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:11 | Will Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election? | BUY | 0.3989999598 | $3.11 |
| 09-17 22:13 | Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election? | BUY | 0.2599999983 | $3.10 |
| 09-17 16:26 | Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years? | BUY | 0.2199999914 | $3.07 |
| 09-17 13:05 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.1395607251 | $3.05 |