sushantsing
0x717d07176cd5cc16a1a21ea5ca7756fa6d9fa4c1
- Realised P&L
- $-11.18
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $10.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $60M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.915 | $5.49 | −$0.09 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.105 | $5.46 | +$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.31at 0.432Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?
- +$6.69at 0.637Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?
- +$5.86at 0.562Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$5.72at 0.661Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$5.22at 0.522Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 05:19 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.20 |
| 09-24 05:18 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.817 | $4.66 |
| 09-14 18:19 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.828 | $4.14 |
| 09-05 09:07 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $7.65 |
| 08-17 21:10 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $8.26 |
| 08-17 18:24 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $8.81 |
| 08-17 18:15 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $9.13 |
| 08-17 15:36 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999813 | $8.68 |
| 08-15 00:55 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999645 | $6.15 |
| 08-15 00:54 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.5621248916 | $6.48 |
| 08-14 15:02 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999722 | $7.61 |
| 08-13 11:47 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $7.98 |
| 08-12 15:42 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4037343264 | $11.94 |
| 08-12 15:42 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.967 | $12.38 |
| 08-12 04:40 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $10.88 |