0x717BCc584ca6E3819EaaEEbE5E49033E60914804-1785607913028
0x717bcc584ca6e3819eaaeebe5e49033e60914804
- Realised P&L
- $-403.25
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 413
- Open portfolio
- $10.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded413
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.725 | $8.16 | +$0.06 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.579 | 0.600 | $1.93 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$190.21at 0.676National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams
- +$156.43at 0.478Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
- +$102.09at 0.498Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$89.51at 0.140Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
- +$74.07at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 10:16 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.64 | $16.00 |
| 09-15 17:11 | Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999626 | $1.54 |
| 09-15 17:10 | Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026? | BUY | 0.7199997943 | $1.68 |
| 09-15 17:10 | Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.89 |
| 09-15 17:10 | Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999603 | $1.45 |
| 09-15 17:10 | Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999626 | $1.54 |
| 09-15 08:05 | LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6299999953 | $16.00 |
| 09-14 21:10 | LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8499999957 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 19:21 | LoL: BIG vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational EMEA Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.6699999798 | $10.60 |
| 09-14 16:57 | LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6814814777 | $16.00 |
| 09-14 09:11 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5999999925 | $16.00 |
| 09-13 20:13 | LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5799999978 | $16.00 |
| 09-13 07:30 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.5199999961 | $16.00 |
| 09-12 11:08 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $16.00 |
| 09-12 08:59 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5899999864 | $16.00 |