Jo7373
0x717a8b61716626a8f829bc4a7da122244ed1977c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $16.7k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $404.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.233 | 0.075 | $186.04 | −$391.96 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.284 | 0.055 | $87.74 | −$365.26 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.130 | $69.75 | −$36.25 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.051 | $31.57 | −$84.43 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.065 | $24.27 | −$41.33 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.004 | $5.52 | −$33.48 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.00 |
| Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$316.67at 0.240Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$28.57at 0.058Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$16.73at 0.770Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$-0.27at 0.334Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
- +$-2.08at 0.820US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 16:58 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.0339100269 | $16.00 |
| 05-12 16:54 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999993 | $200.00 |
| 05-12 16:54 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.2507643828 | $200.00 |
| 04-08 12:48 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.2399999988 | $140.00 |
| 04-08 12:46 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | SELL | 0.2427503065 | $59.40 |
| 04-08 12:46 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | SELL | 0.1404144348 | $80.74 |
| 03-27 11:04 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | BUY | 0.3799999967 | $46.00 |
| 03-18 07:26 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.1582340351 | $45.10 |
| 03-01 09:53 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.73 |
| 02-28 16:39 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2399999991 | $176.00 |
| 02-28 09:19 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BUY | 0.5983116264 | $236.00 |
| 02-24 18:25 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BUY | 0.779999984 | $44.00 |
| 02-22 17:12 | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $43.41 |
| 02-20 20:38 | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.1324601376 | $115.00 |
| 02-12 09:36 | Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999974 | $74.00 |