0x7178ee5a8733950519945cba351028feac7e1368
- Realised P&L
- $151.07
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $61.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Down | 0.505 | 0.525 | $61.75 | +$2.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.06at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$68.05at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$65.12at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$61.19at 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$60.48at 0.498Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 03:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5370282762 | $19.77 |
| 09-20 03:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5303456357 | $16.48 |
| 09-18 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5401227577 | $19.79 |
| 09-18 11:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5444825215 | $16.49 |
| 09-17 03:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5337299539 | $16.48 |
| 09-15 23:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999915 | $16.48 |
| 09-15 07:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5352580277 | $16.48 |
| 09-13 11:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999915 | $16.48 |
| 09-12 11:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999899 | $16.45 |
| 09-10 20:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5246920281 | $19.77 |
| 09-10 11:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.509999986 | $16.44 |
| 09-09 07:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5292604502 | $16.46 |
| 09-08 07:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999858 | $16.51 |
| 09-03 00:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5144955849 | $16.46 |
| 09-01 15:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5264397009 | $16.48 |