0x717862EeCF5Fb38671e4F49237481c18abB07400-1776445630824
0x717862eecf5fb38671e4f49237481c18abb07400
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $30.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,015
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,015
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No | 0.710 | 0.785 | $1.7k | +$162.06 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs · Alliance | 0.380 | 0.385 | $32.17 | +$0.42 |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · No | 0.500 | 0.425 | $17.43 | −$3.08 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage · 1WIN | 0.120 | 0.095 | $5.51 | −$1.45 |
| Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-18? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.38 |
| Will 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-08-22? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.198Will Granada CF win on 2026-08-30?
- +$895.51at 0.052Will NEOM SC win on 2026-09-07?
- +$810.40at 0.280Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- +$660.27at 0.678Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
- +$285.97at 0.321Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 22:43 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.12 | $6.96 |
| 09-30 22:42 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | BUY | 0.3799999981 | $31.75 |
| 09-12 17:58 | Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.5499999972 | $29.00 |
| 09-07 13:42 | Will NEOM SC win on 2026-09-07? | BUY | 0.05 | $42.00 |
| 09-07 13:41 | Will NEOM SC win on 2026-09-07? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.25 |
| 09-06 18:38 | Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.16 |
| 09-06 17:23 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06? | SELL | 0.07 | $6.37 |
| 09-06 16:20 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.4899999962 | $44.61 |
| 09-02 18:21 | Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.05 | $42.00 |
| 09-01 18:31 | Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.06 | $9.00 |
| 08-31 03:54 | Will Granada CF win on 2026-08-30? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-27 20:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in August? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.98 |
| 08-27 20:08 | Will Granada CF win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.1899999965 | $37.39 |
| 08-27 18:45 | Will Granada CF win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.19 | $140.22 |
| 08-27 18:09 | Will Granada CF win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.19 | $23.37 |