PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

alphen

0x71711b5d656cbaa1d8a6f010a2d46215533edc7c

Realised P&L
$-45.65
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$17.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.8120.595$7.33−$2.67
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? · Yes0.4100.425$5.18+$0.18
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? · Yes0.3900.385$4.94−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 05:15Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.8118811841$10.00
09-25 05:15Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.3899999945$5.00
09-25 01:43Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.4099999984$5.00
09-24 01:41Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.5699999886$10.00
09-22 17:28Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-22?SELL0.015$0.25
09-22 15:50Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-22?BUY0.299999994$5.00
09-20 17:02Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?SELL0.08$1.22
09-20 16:16Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?SELL0.999$104.98
09-20 16:10Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.919999992$96.69
09-20 15:12Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4899999824$2.50
09-20 15:03Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-20 15:01Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?SELL0.999$104.74
09-20 13:18Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.6499999863$14.26
09-20 03:45Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.75$32.57
09-19 16:42Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.7399999734$5.00