0x716D9E45E96FeA7715387C8240a2b43e32a64206-1766378794699
0x716d9e45e96fea7715387c8240a2b43e32a64206
- Realised P&L
- $-137.6k
- Volume
- $5.25M
- Markets traded
- 246
- Open portfolio
- $8.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded246
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.070 | $8.0k | −$3.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.9kat 0.008Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
- +$5.1kat 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$4.1kat 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
- +$3.5kat 0.193Spurs vs. Rockets
- +$3.4kat 0.530Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $37.80 |
| 09-17 01:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $461.13 |
| 09-17 00:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $190.19 |
| 09-17 00:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.4k |
| 09-17 00:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $45.83 |
| 09-14 23:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $61.14 |
| 09-14 23:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.5k |
| 09-14 23:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $219.03 |
| 09-14 19:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0602221915 | $1.2k |
| 09-14 08:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06000357 | $2.4k |
| 09-14 08:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0702454404 | $381.22 |
| 09-13 06:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $627.11 |
| 09-13 06:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $441.16 |
| 09-11 06:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $877.76 |
| 09-11 06:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $187.55 |