0x716cC280661641bB94072823b1496597c7bEf855-1777286201039
0x716cc280661641bb94072823b1496597c7bef855
- Realised P&L
- $-1.21
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $63.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.393 | 0.500 | $63.62 | +$13.62 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.574 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.38at 0.612Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
- +$88.81at 0.552Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 22:55 | SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39297466 | $50.00 |
| 08-19 12:58 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2320115704 | $7.70 |
| 06-11 19:14 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6055639605 | $100.00 |
| 06-11 19:12 | GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.5744134028 | $200.00 |
| 06-11 19:09 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | SELL | 0.9623079053 | $312.85 |
| 04-27 10:41 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.6121045127 | $199.00 |