0x716bbfa66eaf0c706a504a7f78964bb5827e4868
- Realised P&L
- $-6.72
- Volume
- $80.57
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $2.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.380 | $2.70 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.17at 0.981Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$0.08at 0.991Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
- +$0.05at 0.991Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
- +$0.05at 0.991Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
- +$0.02at 0.991Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-15 16:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 16:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $9.00 |
| 09-03 05:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.00 |
| 09-03 01:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 01:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 30? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |