PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x716bbfa66eaf0c706a504a7f78964bb5827e4868

Realised P&L
$-6.72
Volume
$80.57
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$2.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 18? · Yes0.3700.380$2.70+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 03:50Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.37$1.85
09-15 16:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
09-05 16:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.98$9.00
09-03 05:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETBUY0.99$9.00
09-03 01:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETBUY0.99$2.00
09-03 01:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
08-29 06:24Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 30?BUY0.65$1.00