AlexMakedonskay
0x715df5d081e2b1bdd226e865316e707adf8db09b
- Realised P&L
- $-153.8k
- Volume
- $4.26M
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $13.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.5kat 0.501Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$47.0kat 0.235Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
- +$26.7kat 0.410Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$5.2kat 0.466Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.9kat 0.220Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 13:05 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $13.3k |
| 09-27 13:05 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.1k |
| 09-15 11:53 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | SELL | 0.7484278068 | $4.3k |
| 09-15 11:53 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | SELL | 0.2149451895 | $2.4k |
| 09-15 08:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | SELL | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 09-15 08:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September? | SELL | 0.1679383215 | $254.15 |
| 09-15 08:04 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | SELL | 0.22 | $110.00 |
| 09-15 08:03 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | SELL | 0.0743327989 | $2.4k |
| 09-15 08:03 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | SELL | 0.0800689013 | $128.99 |
| 09-15 08:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.7503865098 | $4.3k |
| 09-03 14:20 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 09-02 14:25 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.7k |
| 09-02 09:13 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | BUY | 0.072 | $25.63 |
| 09-02 09:12 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.4k |
| 09-02 09:12 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | BUY | 0.1 | $705.00 |