Valix420
0x715b76415c9eab21a9d633011d0e0031f46418dc
- Realised P&L
- $-31.73
- Volume
- $262.32
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $3.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026? · No | 0.270 | 0.325 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.220 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.200 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.189 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$4.91 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.82 |
| Will Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Trump say "Trump" 5+ times during Michigan remarks? · No | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.00at 0.250Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 23:14 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.93 |
| 07-27 21:26 | Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 21:26 | Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 21:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 21:18 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 21:15 | Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 07-27 17:51 | Will Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 17:41 | Will Trump say "Trump" 5+ times during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 17:40 | Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 14:29 | Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 11-04 21:50 | Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3299999296 | $3.00 |
| 11-04 02:35 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0869999946 | $13.82 |