PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x714a14eCeb9E9be14C0cf6Fc4D3b61c0E5CD4a1B-1776162500525

0x714a14eceb9e9be14c0cf6fc4d3b61c0e5cd4a1b

Realised P&L
$71.08
Volume
$20.1k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3160.305$1.0k$35.37
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0030.007$2.12+$1.28
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$0.50$0.50
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0030.002$0.50$0.50
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$0.42$1.58
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$0.29$1.71
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$0.17$0.83
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$3.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$2.00
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump visit China by May 8? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$2.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 17:32Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002999997$1.00
07-26 17:32Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002999997$1.00
07-26 17:32Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002999997$1.00
07-26 17:32Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002$1.00
07-26 17:31Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002$1.00
07-26 17:31Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002$1.00
07-26 17:31Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002$1.00
07-16 05:17Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.415$6.38
07-15 20:14Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002999997$1.00
07-15 20:14Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.004$1.00
07-15 20:10Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1949999525$3.00
07-15 20:03Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.579999826$1.00
07-10 21:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.1299999789$5.00
07-10 21:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.2$5.00
07-10 21:50Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.4199999832$5.00