0x714a14eCeb9E9be14C0cf6Fc4D3b61c0E5CD4a1B-1776162500525
0x714a14eceb9e9be14c0cf6fc4d3b61c0e5cd4a1b
- Realised P&L
- $71.08
- Volume
- $20.1k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.19at 0.948Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
- +$58.73at 0.630Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
- +$54.53at 0.950US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$30.87at 0.727Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
- +$28.92at 0.118US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 17:32 | Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 17:32 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 17:32 | Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 17:32 | Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 17:31 | Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 17:31 | Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 17:31 | Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 05:17 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.415 | $6.38 |
| 07-15 20:14 | Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 20:14 | Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 20:10 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1949999525 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 20:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 21:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |