committed
0x713ee2477628baffd8af2956b136a03a2199a1b3
- Realised P&L
- $-111.25
- Volume
- $38.7k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $9.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 22? · Down | 0.490 | 0.999 | $9.04 | +$4.61 |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 22? · Up | 0.298 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$3.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.32at 0.344Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 30?
- +$74.65at 0.201Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 30?
- +$41.87at 0.431Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 9?
- +$34.84at 0.598Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on March 9?
- +$28.40at 0.350Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 09:09 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.23 |
| 09-21 11:43 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.42 |
| 09-18 18:54 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.10 |
| 09-18 18:50 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 09-18 18:48 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.25 |
| 09-18 13:29 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.3073529412 | $2.09 |
| 09-18 09:01 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.31 |
| 09-17 22:49 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.43 |
| 09-17 22:09 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.41 |
| 09-16 21:15 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.41 | $3.28 |
| 09-16 19:26 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 16? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-14 17:40 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.811 | $4.10 |
| 09-14 12:55 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.58 |
| 09-14 11:42 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.08 |
| 09-14 08:10 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.2 | $7.49 |