committed
0x713ee2477628baffd8af2956b136a03a2199a1b3
- Realised P&L
- $-33.18
- Volume
- $35.3k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $0.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.262 | 0.023 | $0.88 | −$9.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.75at 0.343Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 30?
- +$77.07at 0.201Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 30?
- +$42.06at 0.431Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 9?
- +$34.84at 0.598Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on March 9?
- +$29.49at 0.350Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:43 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.38 | $8.03 |
| 08-05 12:27 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.62 |
| 08-05 10:35 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.36 | $8.66 |
| 08-04 19:28 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.13 |
| 08-03 21:38 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $9.49 |
| 08-03 18:49 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-03 08:01 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.29 | $10.29 |
| 07-30 13:26 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.65 |
| 07-30 12:49 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.42 |
| 07-29 22:08 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.88 |
| 07-29 21:58 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $7.08 |
| 07-29 19:21 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.92 |
| 07-29 18:05 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.32 |
| 07-29 17:48 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.11 |
| 07-29 15:48 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.35 |