Simmson
0x7135e1b8a426632e12d533f98f3db6f110a3918e
- Realised P&L
- $16.12
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $46.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona finish first in UCL league phase? · No | 0.820 | 0.910 | $21.09 | +$2.09 |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award? · Yes | 0.987 | 0.965 | $9.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.225 | $9.38 | −$0.62 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.038 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Barcelona finish first in UCL league phase? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.090 | $1.53 | −$3.07 |
| Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Gavi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.09at 0.168Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-2.20at 0.039World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 19:50 | Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 19:49 | Will Barcelona finish first in UCL league phase? | BUY | 0.819999994 | $19.00 |
| 10-20 19:48 | Will Barcelona finish first in UCL league phase? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 10-20 19:48 | Will Barcelona finish first in UCL league phase? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.30 |
| 10-20 18:54 | Will Barcelona finish first in UCL league phase? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 17:11 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.0379999998 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 15:28 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 14:20 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 14:14 | Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 17:53 | World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken? | SELL | 0.0231911461 | $3.03 |
| 06-11 20:59 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0479999968 | $14.00 |
| 06-11 19:34 | Will Gavi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0059999994 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 19:24 | World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken? | BUY | 0.0382292224 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 19:07 | Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0299700271 | $10.00 |
| 06-02 18:00 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.163999992 | $15.00 |