farc553
0x7131a2ad68c1298d44d2ea5294cd9542639493b4
- Realised P&L
- $-22.96
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $38.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 5? · No | 0.985 | 0.765 | $38.07 | −$10.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.36at 0.780Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
- +$11.73at 0.670UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
- +$10.80at 0.801Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?
- +$3.49at 0.900Will Ethereum hit $3,000 in December?
- +$3.06at 0.290Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:55 | Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.9845847759 | $49.00 |
| 09-23 16:57 | Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 song this week? | BUY | 0.988252499 | $49.00 |
| 09-15 12:16 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.9971859661 | $49.00 |
| 09-05 14:32 | Will "Don't Look Down - Rod Wave" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 12? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.00 |
| 09-03 00:28 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $48.00 |
| 08-27 11:40 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 26m? | BUY | 0.9823792469 | $48.00 |
| 08-24 23:23 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.950999998 | $20.50 |
| 08-20 21:24 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $26.00 |
| 08-20 21:22 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 08-13 22:16 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $26.00 |
| 08-13 22:13 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9609999744 | $20.00 |
| 07-08 20:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in July? | BUY | 0.9299999989 | $42.93 |
| 07-02 14:08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of June 29 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $40.00 |
| 04-10 00:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | BUY | 0.9749999942 | $49.88 |
| 03-29 00:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 29? | BUY | 0.9989999812 | $50.01 |