0x712e8f591c03fb053ca4f419a9ed5f580f1cbd33
0x712e8f591c03fb053ca4f419a9ed5f580f1cbd33
- Realised P&L
- $19.53
- Volume
- $92.95
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $24.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar21.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.635 | $14.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will SK Beveren win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.535 | $9.91 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.56at 0.584Will United States win on 2026-10-06?
- +$6.93at 0.605Will Algeria win on 2026-10-06?
- +$5.04at 0.677Will France win on 2026-10-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:59 | Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.649999987 | $15.00 |
| 10-08 19:57 | Will SK Beveren win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 23:16 | Will United States win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 17:17 | Will Algeria win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 18:31 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |