PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7121364063e70C2929ed22bD8c51Ca9E4723B28d-1781344104328

0x7121364063e70c2929ed22bd8c51ca9e4723b28d

Realised P&L
$-4.3k
Volume
$496.6k
Markets traded
1,731
Open portfolio
$39.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,731
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republicans win young men in the midterms? · Yes0.2080.160$9.99$3.01
Will Democrats win older women in the midterms? · No0.1630.155$8.57$0.43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3600.305$4.24$0.76
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4510.385$3.50$0.60
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4620.385$3.34$0.66
Will Democrats win white women in the midterms? · Yes0.5900.650$2.20+$0.20
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1200.075$1.87$1.13
Will Republicans win 12–13% of the Black vote? · Yes0.2500.225$1.80$0.20
Will Republicans win 14–15% of the Black vote? · Yes0.1100.088$1.60$0.40
Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote? · No0.7000.715$1.02+$0.02
Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote? · No0.7400.710$0.96$0.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET · Up0.3970.000$0.00$2.74
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00$8.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Up0.0680.000$0.00$13.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET · Up0.8560.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 09:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.7199999424$3.00
09-21 09:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.7199999424$3.00
09-21 09:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.7299999416$3.00
09-21 09:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.7199999424$3.00
09-21 09:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.7199999424$2.00
09-21 09:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.7899999289$2.00
09-21 09:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-21 09:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.25$1.00
09-21 09:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-21 09:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-21 09:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-21 09:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-21 09:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSELL0.77$10.49
09-21 09:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSELL0.74$13.44
09-21 09:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.29999994$1.00