LegendaryRed24
0x7118ef41143993168d78f4907d222ed4f707d193
- Realised P&L
- $-0.13
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $12.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.115 | $12.19 | −$3.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.28at 0.681Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$1.74at 0.377Will Palantir say "Warp Speed" during earnings call?
- +$0.93at 0.903Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-0.55at 0.208Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$-1.07at 0.039Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 01:39 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.845 | $0.63 |
| 08-28 01:35 | Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.1521644281 | $16.13 |
| 08-03 21:17 | Will Palantir say "Warp Speed" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3678003142 | $1.03 |
| 07-27 02:08 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.746 | $69.38 |
| 07-21 00:37 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6699999977 | $62.81 |
| 07-16 07:56 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.589 | $61.48 |
| 07-16 07:54 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.916 | $0.22 |
| 07-16 07:54 | Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.74 | $0.13 |
| 07-16 07:54 | Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.02 |
| 07-16 07:52 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5979999975 | $62.42 |
| 07-16 07:45 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.916 | $91.60 |
| 07-15 00:20 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.899999993 | $90.22 |
| 07-10 15:36 | Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.7068490566 | $37.46 |
| 07-08 16:46 | Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.0405747126 | $3.53 |
| 07-03 21:35 | Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $5.25 |