kevolution
0x710dc593d792853f2c103100e7f081ffdaaa02aa
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $244.2k
- Markets traded
- 3,500
- Open portfolio
- $316.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,500
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$234.83at 0.585Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
- +$231.78at 0.580Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?
- +$208.76at 0.640Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$194.80at 0.511Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
- +$162.18at 0.311Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 11-01 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 11-01 11:46 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.91 | $36.40 |
| 11-01 11:07 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 11-01 11:00 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 10-31 18:29 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.963 | $4.81 |
| 10-31 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 10-30 15:17 | Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.952 | $11.42 |
| 10-30 11:21 | Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.931 | $9.31 |
| 10-30 10:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 10-29 21:42 | Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-29 20:22 | Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 10-29 19:49 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 29? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 10-29 15:11 | Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $28.50 |
| 10-29 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 29? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |