PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x7100acb237f94925f014fce850225c4bdad9bf3d

0x7100acb237f94925f014fce850225c4bdad9bf3d

Realised P&L
$3.11
Volume
$287.96
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$62.53

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 12? · No0.5500.825$15.00+$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 11? · No0.5740.805$14.08+$4.04
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 13? · Yes0.2700.350$5.98+$1.37
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13? · No0.4000.475$5.36+$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? · No0.4300.405$4.25−$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12? · Yes0.1500.120$4.08−$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12? · No0.4670.345$3.57−$1.26
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 12? · Yes0.2700.470$3.53+$1.50
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12? · No0.5200.485$2.60−$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 13? · Yes0.2500.255$2.04+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 12? · Yes0.1800.235$2.00+$0.47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 11? · Yes0.2200.001$0.02−$9.76
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10? · No0.0020.001$0.01−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? · No0.3600.001$0.01−$6.07
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 11? · No0.4300.001$0.01−$4.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 20:12Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?SELL0.999$8.09
10-11 17:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?SELL0.71$5.11
10-11 15:11Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 11?SELL0.952$13.21
10-11 15:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?BUY0.66$4.75
10-11 12:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.002$0.02
10-11 12:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?BUY0.43$4.51
10-11 09:11Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12?BUY0.4666924565$4.83
10-11 08:16Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 12?BUY0.18$1.53
10-11 07:24Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 11?BUY0.43$4.59
10-11 07:10Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13?BUY0.4$4.51
10-11 05:11Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?BUY0.52$4.24
10-11 02:14Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12?BUY0.15$5.10
10-11 01:13Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 11?BUY0.22$5.00
10-11 01:13Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11?BUY0.34$2.92
10-11 01:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 11?BUY0.22$4.78