ilyas2026finland
0x70f916a4088bfc00d726c2192161f8a1205841c8
- Realised P&L
- $8.28
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $491.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.72at 0.211Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
- +$0.29at 0.972Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
- +$-5.31at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.0365856246 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0469626092 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 10:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.0309999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 10:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on September 22? | BUY | 0.1076011844 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 10:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,900 on September 22? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 19:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 19:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 19:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1033698573 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 19:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:45 | Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September? | BUY | 0.026 | $4.97 |
| 09-16 18:38 | Will Solana reach $160 in September? | BUY | 0.023 | $0.11 |
| 09-16 18:37 | Will Solana reach $150 in September? | BUY | 0.028 | $8.40 |
| 09-16 18:37 | Will Solana reach $140 in September? | BUY | 0.054 | $21.60 |