Bla-485
0x70f8bb3b044e8f1391624cbdb98067ceac3e7fb5
- Realised P&L
- $-5.9k
- Volume
- $124.4k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$718.97at 0.824US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$618.90at 0.674Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?
- +$499.68at 0.794Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$485.49at 0.837US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$335.69at 0.508Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 05:26 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999943 | $87.00 |
| 09-18 04:59 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5633624084 | $59.20 |
| 09-17 17:34 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 18? | BUY | 0.84 | $100.80 |
| 09-17 15:25 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December? | BUY | 0.7185628725 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 14:12 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 18? | BUY | 0.26 | $104.00 |
| 09-17 13:56 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 18? | BUY | 0.59 | $236.00 |
| 09-17 12:39 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.34 | $69.70 |
| 09-17 12:04 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $19.00 |
| 09-17 11:36 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 17? | BUY | 0.78 | $46.80 |
| 09-17 09:08 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 17? | BUY | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 09-17 09:08 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 17? | BUY | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 09-17 08:49 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 17? | BUY | 0.81 | $162.00 |
| 09-17 08:27 | Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.8799999988 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 07:02 | Will RZP-Zehut win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.86 | $19.14 |
| 09-16 20:50 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4885343967 | $500.00 |