PolyBot

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Traders

Bla-485

0x70f8bb3b044e8f1391624cbdb98067ceac3e7fb5

Realised P&L
$-5.9k
Volume
$124.4k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.4720.489$1.6k+$54.27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes0.2980.110$152.95$262.04
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.8560.925$114.57+$8.57
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 18? · No0.8400.950$114.00+$13.20
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 18? · Yes0.5900.275$110.00$126.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December? · No0.7190.655$91.15$8.85
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.3400.275$56.38$13.32
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.5630.405$42.56$16.64
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.8800.920$31.36+$1.36
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 18? · Yes0.2600.050$20.00$84.00
Will RZP-Zehut win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.8600.890$19.81+$0.67
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.6300.000$0.00$7.0k
Ebola case in the US by June 30? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$73.99
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 05:26Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.8799999943$87.00
09-18 04:59Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.5633624084$59.20
09-17 17:34S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 18?BUY0.84$100.80
09-17 15:25Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?BUY0.7185628725$100.00
09-17 14:12S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 18?BUY0.26$104.00
09-17 13:56S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 18?BUY0.59$236.00
09-17 12:39Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?BUY0.34$69.70
09-17 12:04Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.76$19.00
09-17 11:36S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 17?BUY0.78$46.80
09-17 09:08S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 17?BUY0.78$78.00
09-17 09:08S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 17?BUY0.78$78.00
09-17 08:49S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 17?BUY0.81$162.00
09-17 08:27Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.8799999988$30.00
09-17 07:02Will RZP-Zehut win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.86$19.14
09-16 20:50Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4885343967$500.00