veryimportantpig
0x70f1661ef5c166dbe91b271546a417da00077dda
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $24.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-31.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $10.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on October 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $6.21 | −$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on October 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $5.35 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on October 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $2.27 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-4.4kat 0.800Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on October 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.21 |
| 10-05 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.27 |
| 10-05 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.37 |
| 10-05 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.9985461147 | $11.00 |
| 10-05 12:57 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.2k |
| 10-05 12:57 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.6k |