PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Shonan

0x70e379c28c88f3462554e730a64c6d489014d7b8

Realised P&L
$-151.01
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$75.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? · Yes0.5460.520$19.05$0.95
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0550.013$18.50$56.49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8100.855$10.56+$0.56
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6750.696$10.30+$0.30
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? · No0.8900.895$10.06+$0.06
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0900.033$3.61$6.39
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0080.003$1.88$4.13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.044$1.59$3.41
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.5930.018$0.18$5.82
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.4900.001$0.01$7.49
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.1800.000$0.00$6.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5680.000$0.00$3.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Down0.0190.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? · No0.2800.000$0.00$5.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 10:10Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0449999957$10.00
07-18 10:10Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0449999957$10.00
07-18 10:09Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0450000005$5.00
07-18 10:09Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0449999957$10.00
07-18 10:09Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0450000005$5.00
07-18 10:05Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6749999477$10.00
07-17 22:21Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0489999908$5.00
07-17 22:20Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.050999969$1.50
07-09 12:49Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
07-08 20:06Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0789999977$30.00
07-07 20:52Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak DjokovicBUY0.64$5.00
07-07 20:46Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5BUY0.1799999772$6.00
07-07 20:37Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?BUY0.0372731378$1.00
07-06 20:14Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?BUY0.9219999974$10.00
07-06 20:14Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY0.3599998704$1.00