PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Shonan

0x70e379c28c88f3462554e730a64c6d489014d7b8

Realised P&L
$-438.33
Volume
$10.8k
Markets traded
161
Open portfolio
$308.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded161
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration92.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7400.765$103.38+$3.38
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? · Yes0.4250.225$92.24$81.98
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026? · No0.7700.870$56.49+$6.49
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat? · Yes0.7600.790$19.75+$0.75
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.2370.130$19.21$15.79
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5110.502$9.83$0.17
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0900.025$2.83$7.17
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0140.002$2.79$23.51
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.2220.017$1.86$22.40
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.1800.000$0.00$6.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5680.000$0.00$3.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Down0.2730.000$0.00$14.37
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? · No0.2800.000$0.00$5.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00$1.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 19:34Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.98$10.02
09-03 08:38Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?BUY0.7699999969$50.00
09-03 07:26Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0143431792$25.00
08-31 19:18Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
08-30 15:24Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?SELL0.001$0.04
08-28 21:09Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.1979311627$15.00
08-28 20:56Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.1398237028$3.26
08-28 20:56Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?SELL0.84$3.40
08-28 12:28Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0110000001$1.30
08-28 12:28Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8799999922$9.00
08-28 12:26Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?SELL0.8902760463$10.00
08-27 12:21Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?BUY0.76$19.00
08-22 17:59Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?BUY0.002$1.00
08-22 11:39Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?BUY0.2899999728$6.07
08-22 10:34Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?BUY0.429999828$1.00