0x70e0BB9E9De6846C174A436A04DC7C2bB846feda-1776112592371
0x70e0bb9e9de6846c174a436a04dc7c2bb846feda
- Realised P&L
- $100.50
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 688
- Open portfolio
- $682.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded688
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? · No | 0.989 | 0.977 | $390.80 | −$4.80 |
| Will FDP be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? · No | 0.989 | 0.984 | $285.89 | −$1.45 |
| Will FW be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? · No | 0.980 | 0.978 | $5.77 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$273.96at 0.104Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$17.45at 0.245Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?
- +$14.39at 0.459Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$11.90at 0.417Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
- +$8.85at 0.703Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 17:10 | Will FW be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.78 |
| 09-23 17:09 | Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? | BUY | 0.989 | $395.60 |
| 09-23 17:08 | Will FDP be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? | BUY | 0.989 | $287.34 |
| 08-03 11:37 | Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $0.20 |
| 07-16 15:37 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $287.62 |
| 07-14 18:59 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5549999956 | $50.00 |
| 07-12 03:46 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2 | $99.01 |
| 07-02 16:07 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1009999992 | $100.00 |
| 06-17 19:27 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.409999974 | $8.37 |
| 06-17 18:54 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.98 |
| 06-17 06:23 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.7099999991 | $15.45 |
| 06-17 06:23 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.4199999163 | $2.41 |
| 06-17 06:22 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.7599999895 | $5.81 |
| 06-17 03:14 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.7599999962 | $16.10 |
| 06-17 00:14 | Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299998592 | $1.16 |