PolyBot

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Traders

thanatos12

0x70dcc881189d931ce6e5edab8e498c537f864530

Realised P&L
$24.38
Volume
$565.63
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$6.69

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) · Dominick Reyes0.3600.335$3.72−$0.28
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) · Alexander Volkanovski0.4900.495$2.02+$0.02
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1000.095$0.95−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 03:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.5399999568$5.00
10-14 03:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.6999999289$3.94
10-14 03:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.4199998872$1.49
10-14 03:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.64$1.00
10-14 03:04Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.14$1.59
10-13 05:05Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSELL0.3972150072$13.76
10-13 05:03Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.288557209$10.00
10-13 05:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.449999964$5.00
10-13 04:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETBUY0.4199999951$18.89
10-13 04:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.7799999949$15.38
10-13 04:22Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETBUY0.7599999937$9.67
10-13 04:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETBUY0.6199999853$6.74
10-13 03:50Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.72$9.00
10-13 03:07Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.4899999584$4.00
10-13 03:03Solana Up or Down - October 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.3099999793$3.00