thanatos12
0x70dcc881189d931ce6e5edab8e498c537f864530
- Realised P&L
- $24.38
- Volume
- $565.63
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $6.69
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) · Dominick Reyes | 0.360 | 0.335 | $3.72 | −$0.28 |
| UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) · Alexander Volkanovski | 0.490 | 0.495 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.22at 0.439Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
- +$7.45at 0.361Solana Up or Down - October 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
- +$6.22at 0.254Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
- +$6.20at 0.455Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$5.89at 0.469Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 03:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 03:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6999999289 | $3.94 |
| 10-14 03:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4199998872 | $1.49 |
| 10-14 03:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 03:04 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.59 |
| 10-13 05:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | SELL | 0.3972150072 | $13.76 |
| 10-13 05:03 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.288557209 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 05:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 04:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999951 | $18.89 |
| 10-13 04:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999949 | $15.38 |
| 10-13 04:22 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999937 | $9.67 |
| 10-13 04:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999853 | $6.74 |
| 10-13 03:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.72 | $9.00 |
| 10-13 03:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $4.00 |
| 10-13 03:03 | Solana Up or Down - October 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $3.00 |