0x70dba48f7d97f624b18ba861b8aeff31831ad5ed
- Realised P&L
- $9.84
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $13.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $70 in August? · No | 0.210 | 0.345 | $1.64 | +$0.64 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.955 | $1.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 9? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.865 | $1.40 | +$0.40 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.905 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.982 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will Solana reach $80 in August? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.540 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will Solana reach $75 on August 4? · No | 0.610 | 0.740 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 8? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.895 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in August? · No | 0.820 | 0.885 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 10? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.830 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 21? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 21? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.70at 0.030Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 20?
- +$6.69at 0.130Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 25?
- +$4.23at 0.740Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 19?
- +$3.07at 0.133Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.78at 0.360Will Solana dip to $80 on July 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:51 | Will Solana reach $75 on August 4? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:00 | Will Solana reach $75 on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.28 |
| 08-04 01:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 14:43 | Will Solana reach $75 on August 3? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 12:43 | Will Solana dip to $70 on August 3? | BUY | 0.1079999067 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 04:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 9? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.99 |
| 08-03 04:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 21:45 | Will Solana reach $75 on August 2? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.15 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will Solana dip to $60 in August? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will Solana reach $75 on August 2? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:35 | Will Solana reach $80 in August? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:15 | Will Solana dip to $70 in August? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 18:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |