PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

Forelli

0x70d3640974b945545d3e2eaef8540321f61cad40

Realised P&L
$-448.72
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$139.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes0.5600.420$84.00$28.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1800.055$55.00$125.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$11.20
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? · No0.3200.000$0.00$18.00
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$105.34
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$44.00
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$35.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$100.00
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No0.3500.000$0.00$35.00
US forces enter Iran by March 14? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$98.00
Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$59.00
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? · No0.1300.000$0.00$52.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-29 15:23Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?BUY0.56$112.00
05-17 07:24Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.35$35.00
05-17 07:22Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$52.00
05-16 22:23Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.273$27.30
03-15 12:12Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.059$7.65
03-06 17:54US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.35$35.00
03-06 17:53US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY0.14$98.00
03-06 17:52US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY0.44$105.34
02-28 10:58Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?BUY0.112$11.20
02-27 21:20Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.18$180.00
02-19 23:25US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.6$120.00
01-14 00:40Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?BUY0.32$18.00
01-14 00:38Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?BUY0.22$44.00
01-14 00:32US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.73$36.50