PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x70CF8A8e26a42ba49dd1bf61860970c19C8f66a9-1746375960093

0x70cf8a8e26a42ba49dd1bf61860970c19c8f66a9

Realised P&L
$-617.16
Volume
$32.6k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$180.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0200.028$133.44+$36.69
Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 18.5 · Yes0.5400.285$25.86−$23.14
Will Jonathan Taylor finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards? · Yes0.1700.082$11.99−$13.01
Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.0170.013$7.51−$2.49
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0060.004$2.05−$1.47
Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$8.93
Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday? · No0.3960.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.2040.000$0.00−$9.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 16? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$50.82
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million? · No0.1590.000$0.00−$57.18
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$41.15
Was Kanye hacked? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$5.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 5PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$88.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 21:36Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 18.5BUY0.5399999985$49.00
10-21 21:35Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.0166444251$10.00
10-19 20:10Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0202012607$76.76
09-21 16:08Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.006$3.52
09-21 16:05Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.019$20.00
09-21 16:04Will Jonathan Taylor finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?BUY0.1699999995$25.00
04-01 23:11Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.1919426731$7.95
04-01 22:18Will Artemis II launch by April 30?SELL0.0407502636$9.27
04-01 21:36Will Artemis II launch by April 30?BUY0.05$11.38
03-29 03:23Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETBUY0.1099999913$9.95
03-29 03:19Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETBUY0.4499999182$2.67
03-29 03:15Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETSELL0.8379003656$91.67
03-29 03:15Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY0.4499999955$48.47
03-27 17:53Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?SELL0.0600117647$51.01
03-27 00:17Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.0072716539$8.93