0x70CF8A8e26a42ba49dd1bf61860970c19C8f66a9-1746375960093
0x70cf8a8e26a42ba49dd1bf61860970c19c8f66a9
- Realised P&L
- $-617.16
- Volume
- $32.6k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $180.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.08at 0.152Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?
- +$41.25at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
- +$18.33at 0.450Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?
- +$16.74at 0.230Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
- +$11.00at 0.450Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 21:36 | Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 18.5 | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $49.00 |
| 10-21 21:35 | Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.0166444251 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 20:10 | Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0202012607 | $76.76 |
| 09-21 16:08 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.52 |
| 09-21 16:05 | Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.019 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 16:04 | Will Jonathan Taylor finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards? | BUY | 0.1699999995 | $25.00 |
| 04-01 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1919426731 | $7.95 |
| 04-01 22:18 | Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | SELL | 0.0407502636 | $9.27 |
| 04-01 21:36 | Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $11.38 |
| 03-29 03:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $9.95 |
| 03-29 03:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999182 | $2.67 |
| 03-29 03:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | SELL | 0.8379003656 | $91.67 |
| 03-29 03:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999955 | $48.47 |
| 03-27 17:53 | Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | SELL | 0.0600117647 | $51.01 |
| 03-27 00:17 | Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.0072716539 | $8.93 |