PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xDane

0x70bfb0d9675fa95a211980df4edbab085f7cf79b

Realised P&L
$31.64
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$270.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C · BetBoom Team0.4931.000$102.85+$52.17
China Open: Daria Snigur vs Katarzyna Kawa · Daria Snigur0.4301.000$24.12+$13.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET · Up0.5041.000$20.86+$10.35
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win - Game 2 Winner · Team Spirit0.5801.000$17.79+$7.47
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win - Game 1 Winner · Team Spirit0.6101.000$17.40+$6.79
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs Lodis (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage · Colossal Gaming0.7101.000$14.70+$4.26
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs mellren (BO5) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs · mellren0.7791.000$13.83+$3.05
China Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Talia Gibson · Aliaksandra Sasnovich0.7601.000$13.75+$3.30
China Open: Janice Tjen vs Anhelina Kalinina · Janice Tjen0.7401.000$13.68+$3.56
Will Trump say "ICE" during his rally in Oklahoma? · Yes0.7500.745$10.69−$0.07
O/U 2.5 Rounds · Over0.5100.505$10.41−$0.10
Will Trump say "Reagan" during his rally in Oklahoma? · Yes0.7880.765$10.25−$0.31
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner · Natus Vincere0.7700.000$0.00−$10.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Down0.3400.000$0.00−$20.33
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs MAGAZA (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage · MAGAZA0.6000.000$0.00−$10.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 01:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSELL0.98$16.27
10-01 01:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSELL0.97$61.72
10-01 01:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.6299999959$10.64
10-01 01:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.6199999815$10.08
10-01 01:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.619999988$10.32
10-01 01:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.6699999823$10.20
10-01 01:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.6699999823$10.20
10-01 01:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETBUY0.7399999861$10.68
10-01 01:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETBUY0.5799999856$10.50
10-01 01:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETBUY0.51$10.20
10-01 01:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETBUY0.48$10.20
10-01 01:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETBUY0.379999997$10.08
10-01 01:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETBUY0.3762635187$10.07
10-01 01:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETBUY0.3099999924$10.26
10-01 01:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETSELL0.98$20.41